95% Confidence Intervals of Prevalence Projections

Table 5.1. 95% Confidence Intervals of Prevalence Projections

Blindness Impairment Glaucoma Cataract AMD Diabetic Retinopathy
2015 1,031,214 – 1,723,458 2,649,032 – 3,620,524 2,595,831 – 3,258,556 24,504,901 – 28,091,273 2,032,473 – 2,426,335 7,194,070 – 9,320,906
2016 1,049,461 – 1,752,343 2,705,714 – 3,696,126 2,651,028 – 3,327,107 25,093,499 – 28,765,113 2,069,984 – 2,470,684 7,338,297 – 9,507,518
2017 1,068,456 – 1,782,249 2,764,837 – 3,774,746 2,707,776 – 3,398,166 25,704,737 – 29,457,638 2,108,748 – 2,516,320 7,482,259 – 9,696,109
2018 1,088,089 – 1,813,533 2,826,408 – 3,857,254 2,765,856 – 3,471,481 26,334,334 – 30,171,328 2,149,328 – 2,564,197 7,625,300 – 9,885,846
2019 1,108,978 – 1,846,755 2,891,485 – 3,944,399 2,825,897 – 3,547,367 26,981,314 – 30,906,073 2,192,370 – 2,615,102 7,767,068 – 10,074,028
2020 1,131,875 – 1,883,305 2,961,585 – 4,038,532 2,888,772 – 3,627,171 27,645,937 – 31,659,772 2,239,294 – 2,670,828 7,909,521 – 10,262,899
2021 1,157,326 – 1,924,011 3,037,581 – 4,140,822 2,953,246 – 3,709,425 28,323,110 – 32,429,198 2,289,927 – 2,731,183 8,049,865 – 10,450,205
2022 1,185,042 – 1,969,345 3,119,199 – 4,252,170 3,019,319 – 3,795,283 29,015,195 – 33,211,090 2,344,051 – 2,795,651 8,188,848 – 10,642,699
2023 1,214,579 – 2,019,849 3,206,016 – 4,373,170 3,086,889 – 3,884,425 29,717,031 – 34,006,030 2,401,488 – 2,864,676 8,324,134 – 10,832,003
2024 1,246,769 – 2,074,195 3,299,128 – 4,502,006 3,156,113 – 3,975,699 30,426,008 – 34,811,099 2,462,691 – 2,937,931 8,456,105 – 11,018,548
2025 1,283,441 – 2,135,398 3,401,067 – 4,642,632 3,227,951 – 4,070,699 31,138,812 – 35,620,296 2,529,423 – 3,017,647 8,586,154 – 11,203,737
2026 1,323,675 – 2,201,751 3,510,255 – 4,792,693 3,301,269 – 4,167,978 31,849,753 – 36,430,918 2,599,976 – 3,101,827 8,713,041 – 11,387,095
2027 1,365,042 – 2,275,995 3,623,372 – 4,955,625 3,374,625 – 4,268,849 32,556,996 – 37,234,947 2,674,015 – 3,192,102 8,837,862 – 11,568,517
2028 1,410,034 – 2,355,539 3,743,856 – 5,127,724 3,449,793 – 4,372,055 33,255,420 – 38,031,678 2,752,066 – 3,286,936 8,960,593 – 11,749,019
2029 1,458,259 – 2,440,672 3,870,849 – 5,309,072 3,526,484 – 4,477,738 33,941,418 – 38,816,353 2,833,833 – 3,386,305 9,081,713 – 11,929,137
2030 1,507,885 – 2,528,345 4,000,869 – 5,495,078 3,603,989 – 4,585,097 34,614,036 – 39,586,083 2,917,618 – 3,488,214 9,202,902 – 12,109,423
2031 1,558,744 – 2,618,308 4,133,503 – 5,685,006 3,681,432 – 4,692,795 35,266,014 – 40,336,709 3,001,964 – 3,590,934 9,322,828 – 12,289,110
2032 1,610,560 – 2,710,151 4,267,990 – 5,877,987 3,758,029 – 4,799,842 35,894,254 – 41,062,962 3,086,805 – 3,694,387 9,440,573 – 12,466,683
2033 1,662,997 – 2,803,533 4,403,543 – 6,073,265 3,833,359 – 4,905,894 36,495,574 – 41,761,219 3,171,407 – 3,797,767 9,555,145 – 12,640,973
2034 1,715,535 – 2,897,735 4,539,061 – 6,269,482 3,907,277 – 5,010,848 37,067,547 – 42,428,698 3,254,788 – 3,899,880 9,665,687 – 12,811,640
2035 1,767,811 – 2,992,149 4,673,562 – 6,465,454 3,979,304 – 5,114,034 37,608,408 – 43,061,157 3,336,887 – 4,000,633 9,771,773 – 12,977,447
2036 1,819,620 – 3,085,718 4,806,654 – 6,659,638 4,049,471 – 5,214,982 38,114,833 – 43,660,679 3,416,498 – 4,098,610 9,874,472 – 13,139,445
2037 1,870,135 – 3,177,874 4,936,808 – 6,850,891 4,117,452 – 5,313,680 38,586,119 – 44,225,652 3,492,890 – 4,193,082 9,975,443 – 13,299,487
2038 1,919,279 – 3,267,736 5,063,580 – 7,037,731 4,183,188 – 5,409,684 39,022,334 – 44,755,363 3,565,818 – 4,283,637 10,075,283 – 13,458,058
2039 1,966,764 – 3,354,647 5,186,189 – 7,218,940 4,246,499 – 5,502,726 39,424,566 – 45,249,605 3,634,876 – 4,369,769 10,173,753 – 13,614,920
2040 2,011,652 – 3,437,824 5,302,925 – 7,393,217 4,307,288 – 5,593,069 39,795,556 – 45,708,779 3,699,455 – 4,450,896 10,270,855 – 13,769,495
2041 2,053,779 – 3,516,096 5,413,500 – 7,558,703 4,365,304 – 5,679,555 40,133,227 – 46,137,156 3,758,565 – 4,525,773 10,366,572 – 13,921,584
2042 2,092,896 – 3,588,843 5,517,373 – 7,714,680 4,420,244 – 5,761,941 40,439,193 – 46,536,051 3,811,752 – 4,593,673 10,459,723 – 14,071,632
2043 2,128,364 – 3,655,379 5,613,492 – 7,860,194 4,472,388 – 5,840,922 40,716,697 – 46,909,206 3,858,359 – 4,653,819 10,551,436 – 14,221,956
2044 2,159,617 – 3,714,883 5,701,050 – 7,994,219 4,521,764 – 5,916,573 40,971,224 – 47,261,096 3,898,176 – 4,705,950 10,642,368 – 14,373,581
2045 2,186,669 – 3,766,867 5,780,094 – 8,116,180 4,568,350 – 5,988,780 41,207,568 – 47,593,882 3,931,230 – 4,749,799 10,731,075 – 14,526,134
2046 2,209,828 – 3,810,628 5,851,093 – 8,225,160 4,612,725 – 6,057,377 41,426,295 – 47,914,674 3,957,519 – 4,785,286 10,819,504 – 14,679,987
2047 2,228,700 – 3,846,270 5,913,332 – 8,321,261 4,654,780 – 6,122,701 41,629,651 – 48,223,642 3,976,848 – 4,812,569 10,907,484 – 14,834,169
2048 2,244,044 – 3,875,275 5,968,330 – 8,407,076 4,694,810 – 6,185,471 41,822,067 – 48,525,763 3,990,462 – 4,833,188 10,995,758 – 14,989,577
2049 2,256,359 – 3,899,272 6,017,296 – 8,485,164 4,732,702 – 6,245,921 42,007,062 – 48,823,725 3,999,485 – 4,848,662 11,084,594 – 15,146,701
2050 2,265,319 – 3,919,002 6,060,125 – 8,556,954 4,768,829 – 6,305,404 42,190,723 – 49,119,660 4,004,491 – 4,859,878 11,173,926 – 15,306,283